Wall St rallies as cooling inflation boosts peak rate bets

By Sruthi Shankar and Amruta Khandekar

3:05 PM UTC – November 14, 2023


(Reuters) – Wall Street’s main stock indexes climbed on Tuesday as cooler-than-expected inflation data boosted expectations that the Federal Reserve was done raising interest rates and could start cutting them next year.

Both the S&P 500 (.SPX) and the tech-heavy Nasdaq (.IXIC) were at a two-month high after data showed that U.S. consumer prices were unchanged in October amid lower gasoline prices.

In the 12 months through October, the CPI climbed 3.2% after rising 3.7% in September, while economists polled by Reuters had forecast a 3.3% gain on a year-on-year basis.

Core prices, which exclude the volatile food and energy components, rose 4.0% compared to economists’ estimate of a 4.1% increase.

“We’re happy to see both headline and core CPI come in lower than expected. It’s telling us that the Fed is done, there’s nothing left for it to do here,” said Thomas Hayes, chairman at hedge fund Great Hill Capital at New York.

“This is what the Fed was looking for, slowing inflation, slowing labor market and the economy’s holding up at the same time.”

Following the data, traders erased bets the Fed will raise borrowing costs any further and piled into bets on rate cuts starting by May.

U.S. Treasury yields dropped, with the two-year yield , which best reflects short-term interest rate expectations, sliding to two-week lows.

That in turn lifted megacap-growth stocks such as Nvidia (NVDA.O), Alphabet (GOOGL.O), Amazon.com (AMZN.O) and Tesla (TSLA.O) up between 1.7% and 5% in early trading.

The small-cap Russell 2000 index (.RUT) jumped 3.3%.

Wall Street’s main indexes have seen a strong rebound in November on expectations that U.S. interest rates were near their peak, even as Fed Chair Jerome Powell last week left the door open to further tightening.

Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Michael Barr is set to testify before the Senate Banking Committee, while investors will parse comments from Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester and Chicago Fed chief Austan Goolsbee later in the day.

Focus is also on negotiations by U.S. lawmakers over a funding bill, as lawmakers face an end-of-week deadline to fund the federal government.

U.S. House of Representatives Speaker Mike Johnson said on Tuesday he thinks the House will pass a short-term spending bill to avert a partial government shutdown beginning on Saturday.

At 9:36 a.m. ET, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI) was up 330.19 points, or 0.96%, at 34,668.06, the S&P 500 (.SPX) was up 60.77 points, or 1.38%, at 4,472.32, and the Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC) was up 256.49 points, or 1.86%, at 14,024.23.

Snap Inc shares (SNAP.N) jumped 9.2% following news that Amazon.com (AMZN.O) will allow Snapchat users in the United States to buy some products listed on the ecommerce company directly from the social media app.

Home Depot (HD.N) gained 5.3% after the U.S. home improvement chain beat quarterly profit estimates.

Fisker (FSR.N) slid 17.3% after the electric-vehicle startup slashed its 2023 production forecast.

Advancing issues outnumbered decliners by a 13.89-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and by a 5.44-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq.

The S&P index recorded 31 new 52-week highs and no new lows, while the Nasdaq recorded 59 new highs and 45 new lows.

Reporting by Sruthi Shankar and Amruta Khandekar in Bengaluru; additional reporting by Ankika Biswas; Editing by Shinjini Ganguli

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